Research
by StratoDem Analytics

Opportunity zone analysis

 Map of Proposed Opportunity Zones in Texas

Map of Proposed Opportunity Zones in Texas

Boston, November 19th, 2018 /StratoDem Analytics/ — Opportunity Zone Analysis

With all 8,700+ census tracts identified as Opportunity Zones available in the platform, the StratoDem Analytics engine can score each of these census tracts on numerous dimensions.

A few highlights include:

  • 600 Opportunity Zones are in market areas that already exceed the US median household income

  • Median household income growth in 2,600 OZs is forecast to outpace US growth over the next five years

  • Many of these census tracts over-index for high-income young adults by a factor of at least 3x (among a number of other segments and opportunities we can track)

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 Austin 25-to-29 census tract population growth forecasts, 2018-2023  Source: StratoDem Analytics

Austin 25-to-29 census tract population growth forecasts, 2018-2023

Source: StratoDem Analytics

Boston, September 25th, 2018 /StratoDem Analytics/ — Millennial forecasting

Peak Millennial, as this piece is titled, is not just impactful to Austin, Texas. The Millennial shift into older cohorts affects the housing demand across the country. No longer the college students and early career professionals that the industry has been marketing to, they will seek different amenities, while remaining more likely to rent than earlier generations. The new college students and early career professionals may have different preferences, but, more importantly, there is considerably slower growth in that segment demanding housing.

 Highlighted: Counties with the largest percentage growth of the population ages 80+ with household net worth of $250,000+ through 2023.

Highlighted: Counties with the largest percentage growth of the population ages 80+ with household net worth of $250,000+ through 2023.

Boston, September 17th, 2018 /StratoDem Analytics/ — Senior Housing demand outlook

After the release of the 2018 ASHA 50, StratoDem Analytics pulled addresses for public senior living portfolios for 40 of the top 50 seniors housing owners. The StratoDem Analytics Engine ran through an analysis of more than 5,000 properties to identify which seniors housing owners have more positive outlooks for future market demand growth. The gap in future market demand growth between top and bottom large senior living owners? A 2x margin.

Boston, September 10th, 2018 /StratoDem Analytics/ — Forecasting Accuracy

StratoDem Analytics clients frequently ask for backtesting results to build comfort with longer-run demographic and economic forecasts. This year, we scaled up our backtesting and are releasing a technical brief of an in-house study of our model output with backtesting of forecast results.

The backtest demonstrates that StratoDem Analytics is frequently at least 25% more accurate for forecasts of population compared to the leading legacy-generation demographic data provider.