Research by StratoDem Analytics

2019 US Senior Housing Market Rankings

Map of forecast growth rate in households age 80+ years with household net worth of at least $250,000 from 2019-2024 by metropolitan area in continental US. Source: StratoDem Analytics

February 11, 2019 | By Sara Rutledge, Michael Clawar

A ranking of US metros based on current and forecast senior household growth, including net-worth-qualified senior households.

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2019 Q1 Senior Housing Portfolio Rankings

Map of households age 80+ years with household net worth of at least $250,000 in 2019 by metropolitan area in continental US. Source: StratoDem Analytics

February 06, 2019 | By Michael Clawar

A ranking of 36 top senior living owners based on current and forecast senior household growth, including net-worth-qualified senior households. Top-ranked owners by senior household wealth have roughly double the median household net worth for 80+ households compared to the bottom five large senior living owners.

Alphas, Betas and Momentum for Market Selection

Map of Local Market Alpha by MSA. Source: StratoDem Analytics

February 05, 2019 | By Sara Rutledge

The StratoDem Research Suite generates alpha and beta calculations to provide information on economic performance of selected local areas - counties and metropolitan/micropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) - relative to the US as a whole.

Opportunity Zone Analysis

Map of proposed Opportunity Zones in Texas

November 19, 2018 | By Sara Rutledge, Michael Clawar

With all 8,700+ census tracts identified as Opportunity Zones available in the platform, the StratoDem Analytics engine can score each of these census tracts on numerous dimensions. 600 Opportunity Zones are in market areas that already exceed the US median household income, while median household income growth in 2,600 OZs is forecast to outpace US growth over the next five years.

Peak Millennial: An Austin case study

Austin 25-to-29 census tract population growth forecasts, 2018-2023. Source: StratoDem Analytics

September 25, 2018 | By Sara Rutledge

Peak Millennial, as this piece is titled, is not just impactful to Austin, Texas. The Millennial shift into older cohorts affects the housing demand across the country. No longer the college students and early career professionals that the industry has been marketing to, they will seek different amenities, while remaining more likely to rent than earlier generations. The new college students and early career professionals may have different preferences, but, more importantly, there is considerably slower growth in that segment demanding housing.

Senior housing demand outlook

Highlighted: Counties with the largest percentage growth of the population ages 80+ with household net worth of $250,000+ through 2023.

September 17, 2018 | By Michael Clawar, Sara Rutledge

After the release of the 2018 ASHA 50, StratoDem Analytics pulled addresses for public senior living portfolios for 40 of the top 50 seniors housing owners. The StratoDem Analytics Engine ran through an analysis of more than 5,000 properties to identify which seniors housing owners have more positive outlooks for future market demand growth. The gap in future market demand growth between top and bottom large senior living owners? A 2x margin.

Forecasting accuracy

September 10, 2018 | By Michael Clawar, Sara Rutledge

StratoDem Analytics clients frequently ask for backtesting results to build comfort with longer-run demographic and economic forecasts. This year, we scaled up our backtesting and are releasing a technical brief of an in-house study of our model output with backtesting of forecast results. The backtest demonstrates that StratoDem Analytics is frequently at least 25% more accurate for forecasts of population compared to the leading legacy-generation demographic data provider.

Initial reaction to the newest release of household net worth data

September 27, 2017 | By Michael Clawar

StratoDem Analytics nowcasts off by less than 3% from official estimates

Estimating household net worth accurately

September 15, 2017 | By Michael Clawar

Deploying data science to build dramatically more accurate nowcasts of household wealth and other vital metrics